Flood threat Thursday and Friday

2-4″ of rain possible with higher totals for some

We are tracking an area of low pressure that will be responsible for the rain we get the rest of the week. It has a 40% chance of becoming a tropical depression before making landfall on Thursday. (Copyright 2022 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Low pressure in the Gulf:

A disorganized area of low pressure is moving west and it will determine where most of the rain falls through Friday. This low has a 40% chance to become a tropical depression before it makes land on Thursday.

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40% chance of becoming a tropical depression (Copyright 2022 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

How much rain will we get?

If this low pressure system stays disorganized we’ll get wildly different rain amounts in SE Texas. If it becomes a depression or gets better organized the heavy rain amounts will be more focused.

The areas in the yellow will see the highest likelihood of flooding. (Copyright 2022 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

It does look like the farther west or north you live the less rain you’ll receive. The rest of us will get a range from 1-3″ of rain with isolated spots getting more than 5″ of rain Thursday through Friday morning. South of Conroe we have a low chance of getting flooding Thursday into Friday morning.

This is the American model (Copyright 2021 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

10-day Forecast:

The widespread rain will keep temperatures in the mid and upper-80s Thursday and Friday. Once the low moves out of SE Texas, temperatures heat up this 4th of July weekend.

Temperatures will start to heat up when the rain chances wind down into next week. (Copyright 2022 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Tracking the tropics:

Potential tropical cyclone two could become Tropical Storm Bonnie at any moment. It is moving due west and will hit Central American Friday. Make sure you’re prepared for the rest of the season by getting our Hurricane Tracker App.

Tropical Storm Bonnie is expected to form any moment with landfall expected Friday. (Copyright 2022 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

About the Author:

Two-time Emmy award winning meteorologist and recipient of the 2022 American Meteorological Society’s award for Excellence in Science Reporting by a Broadcast Meteorologist.