Tropical Storm Nicholas forms

Foot of rain is possible for Southeast Texas

TS Nicholas forms, forecast to remain as Tropical storm
TS Nicholas forms, forecast to remain as Tropical storm (KPRC)

Sunday forecast:

HOUSTON – Tropical Nicholas formed this morning and that means big weather changes for today and into this evening. Moisture levels are creeping back up. Look for highs around 88-90 degrees, higher humidity and rain chances increasing throughout the day. Scattered rain and storms will be pushing in, especially along the coast.

TS Nicholas formed this morning (KPRC)

As of this writing the forecast is for the storm to remain as a Tropical storm with winds just under Category one status. Expect sustained winds of 35-45mph with gusts up to 55mph. Heavy rain will be a big part of this system as it takes the next two to three days to move up the coast and into and through the Houston area. A Flash Flood Watch has been issued from 7pm Sunday until Tuesday evening. As of right now the forecast is for 5-10 inches of rain across the region with isolated amounts of up to 15 inches in some areas.

Flash Flood watch until Tuesday evening (KPRC)

The American computer model has shifted its forecast and now places up to a foot of rain in several areas of Southeast Texas. The European model below also is predicting rainfall that could cause serious flooding in the impacted areas.

Up to a foot of rain forecast (KPRC)
Worst case scenario of forecast rainfall (KPRC)

10-day Forecast:

Regardless of the tracks of this expected storm we should expect heavy rain to start the week with the heaviest concentration between Monday and Wednesday. Model changes will prompt forecast chances so please stay weather aware!

Wet ten days ahead including tropical development (KPRC)

Remember - rain chances increase during the day on Sunday. Stormy weather will likely stick around into midweek. Please check back with the forecast for changes!


About the Authors:

KPRC 2's chief meteorologist with three decades of experience forecasting Houston's weather.

Meteorologist, craft beer guru, dad to Maya and Ella and a sock and cheese addict.