This is how many coronavirus-related deaths experts project in each state into August

Dr. Joseph Varon hugs and comforts a patient in the COVID-19 intensive care unit (ICU) during Thanksgiving at the United Memorial Medical Center on November 26, 2020 in Houston, Texas. According to reports, Texas has reached over 1,220,000 cases, including over 21,500 deaths. (2020 Getty Images)

As the first impacts of coronavirus began in the U.S. over a year ago, many states have drawn back social distancing measures to reopen their economies and return to normalcy.

Since loosening restrictions after the pandemic forced stay-at-home orders across the country, the U.S. has experienced an increase in positive cases and hospitalizations.

Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) projected the U.S. saw its peak in daily coronavirus-related deaths on April 15. On that day, the number was 32,146.

Now, experts project the country will experience 618,523 virus-related deaths into August.

IHME previously projected the nation will suffer a total of 317,312 deaths related to COVID-19 by Dec. 1, then made the following predictions as the situation worsened.

  • 389,087 by New Year’s Day
  • 399,163 by Feb. 1
  • 470,974 by March 1
  • 567,195 by April 1
  • 594,623 by May 1
  • 574,062 by June 1
  • 609,172 by July 1

Projections are based on states’ easing scenarios, current masks mandates, vaccine distribution and new variant spread.

Here are state-by-state projections for COVID-19 related deaths by August 1, 2021:

Alabama

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 11,444

Current projection: 11,732

Alaska

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 335

Current projection: 330

Arizona

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 17,732

Current projection: 17,740

Arkansas

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 6,017

Current projection: TBD

California

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 65,065

Current projection: 67,227

Colorado

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 6,430

Current projection: 6,556

Connecticut

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 8,512

Current projection: 8,487

Delaware

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 1,895

Current projection: 1,891

Florida

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 39,646

Current projection: 39,642

Georgia

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 22,279

Current projection: 21,298

Hawaii

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 623

Current projection: 654

Idaho

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 2,233

Current projection: 2,131

Illinois

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 25,439

Current projection: 25,492

Indiana

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 14,237

Current projection: 14,248

Iowa

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 6,363

Current projection: 6,137

Kansas

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 5,225

Current projection: 5,220

Kentucky

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 7,218

Current projection: 7,269

Louisiana

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 10,849

Current projection: 10,900

Maine

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 817

Current projection: 837

Maryland

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 9,055

Current projection: 9,458

Massachusetts

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 19,601

Current projection: 20,175

Michigan

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 21,027

Current projection: 21,742

Minnesota

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 7,490

Current projection: 7,602

Mississippi

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 7,364

Current projection: 7,593

Missouri

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 9,698

Current projection: 9,792

Montana

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 1,510

Current projection: 1,665

Nebraska

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 2,437

Current projection: 2,265

Nevada

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 5,753

Current projection: 5,754

New Hampshire

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 1,425

Current projection: 1,459

New Jersey

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 26,614

Current projection: 27,494

New Mexico

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 4,140

Current projection: 4,185

New York

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 52,767

Current projection: 55,327

North Carolina

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 13,621

Current projection: 13,258

North Dakota

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 1,597

Current projection: 1,613

Ohio

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 23,449

Current projection: TBD

Oklahoma

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 5,232

Current projection: 5,663

Oregon

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 2,537

Current projection: 2,601

Pennsylvania

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 27,576

Current projection: 28,053

Rhode Island

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 2,819

Current projection: 2,913

South Carolina

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 9,813

Current projection: 10,269

South Dakota

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 2,063

Current projection: 2,025

Tennessee

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 13,812

Current projection: 13,528

Texas

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 53,072

Current projection: 52,444

Utah

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 2,461

Current projection: 2,254

Vermont

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 310

Current projection: 301

Virginia

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 11,195

Current projection: 11,955

Washington

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 5,801

Current projection: 5,940

West Virginia

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 3,110

Current projection: 3,252

Wisconsin

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 7,593

Current projection: 8,249

Wyoming

COVID-19 deaths previously projected: 721

Current projection: 771


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