BOWLING GREEN, Ohio – Ohio’s Wood County is a mix of just about everything that makes the entire state an election bellwether with its growing suburbs, a farm culture rooted in conservative values and a university that attracts younger, liberal-leaning voters.
It’s also one of nine counties in the state that flipped for President Donald Trump after backing Democrat Barack Obama in the previous two elections. Only once since 1964 has Wood County not picked the presidential winner. That’s why its sleepy suburbs and rural communities that sit just south of Toledo are being closely watched in this election, and not just in Ohio — a state Trump must win again as no Republican has taken the White House without it.
Not surprisingly, both parties believe the perennial swing county is trending their way this year. The head of the local Republican party says blue collar voters who embraced Trump in 2016 are even more enthused now. Democrats are just as optimistic that voters in Toledo’s bedroom communities, especially women and college graduates, are moving toward Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden.
Four years after Trump won Ohio relatively easily, most polls show the state is again a toss-up. One of the keys to watch across the state are two clusters of “pivot” counties — four each in northeastern and northwestern Ohio — that both Trump and Obama won on their way to the White House.
Wood County, which anchors the cluster of counties on the state’s western end, is home to both the largest solar manufacturing facility in the United States and the National Tractor Pulling Championships every summer.
While its population is almost entirely white, the county’s diversity in voting preferences can be traced to its varied economic base, said Melissa Miller, a political science professor at Bowling Green State University, the area’s single largest employer.
“That’s why Wood County always swings,” Miller said.
The university and its college-educated workforce tends to push the county’s voters to the left, but the blue-collar workers in agriculture and manufacturing — the county’s biggest overall employment sector — pull it back to the right.