Easter Sunday Storms: Timing can change and the weather team will keep a close on the timing. If you’re like me, you love to plan. And if you have family coming over for Easter after church, lets talk about Sunday.
First, how we track Easter Storm Chances in Houston:
It’s only Monday, so we’ll get a clearer picture as we get closer. But if you’re trying to plan now, let’s talk about Sunday’s forecast.
7-10 days out we look at the extended long-range models for large scale patterns.
3-5 days out we start to get within the short to medium-range window, we can start to fine-tune timing within reason.
1-3 days we shift to short range timing where we can focus on start and end times.
24 hours - we have the ability to be more precise
Now/Hand tracking in the now: We follow the storm in real time.
So, right now, it’s still more about the long-range patterns.
Tracking our models and timing:
The Euro: Has the front moving into the Houston area in the overnight hours into the early morning.
The American: Has the front making it’s way into Houston around 11 am.
So while things can and will change the closer we get, even the models, we’ll keep updating you as we get closer.
Intensity:
We’ll also be able to nail down the intensity and the closer we get to the date.
Right now the SPC, storm prediciton center shows no elevated severe weather threat but we’ll check back tomorrow and we’ll have an evern better undersating on threat and timing before the weekend.