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NWS: Tropical wave coming late week could increase rain chances along the Texas coast

Even if there is no tropical formation, expect elevated rain chances for most of the week

A 20% chance of some tropical development by the end of this week
A 20% chance of some tropical development by the end of this week
Tropical Outlook Map
Tropical Outlook Map (KPRC)

A tropical wave currently brewing in the Caribbean could increase rain chances along the upper Texas coast later this week, according to the National Weather Service.

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a weak disturbance over eastern Hispaniola and the coastal waters of the southwestern Atlantic. The tropical wave is expected to move into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by late Tuesday and into the northwestern Gulf Thursday, according to the National Weather Service. There is a 20 percent chance of tropical cyclone development over the next five days.

A tropical wave will bring higher rain chances by the end of the week
A tropical wave will bring higher rain chances by the end of the week

While the system is expected to increase rain chances late in the week, it is still too early to to determine additional impacts along the upper Texas coast, according to the National Weather Service. The most likely scenario is for higher rain chances by late Thursday evening into Friday and even stretching into some of the early weekend forecast.

Areas along the coast could see 2-4" of rain
Areas along the coast could see 2-4" of rain

Cumulative rain amounts for next week will increase by next weekend. Preliminary futurecast models indicate 3-4 inches along the coastal communities but that forecast is expected to change in the coming days.

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