The poll published Wednesday found that Trump and Biden are tied at 47% among likely voters. That dead heat is a big change from the five-point lead Trump held over Biden when likely voters were polled in September. According to the poll, 48% of people who plan to vote at an early-voting location support Biden, while 46% support Trump. Of those who will vote on Election Day, 62% support Trump and 32% support Biden. Of those who are voting by mail or absentee ballot, 63% support Biden and 31% support Trump.