Saturday morning Mexico was dealing with two tropical storms; Ingrid in the Bay of Campeche and Manuel in the Pacific south of Manzanillo.
After almost reaching the coast near Veracruz on Friday, Ingrid has been moving slowly towards the northeast over the Bay of Campeche. A slow northward movement is expected today followed by a sharp turn back to the west Sunday as high pressure builds over the northern Gulf and southern U.S. Landfall is now expected on the northeast Mexican coast late Sunday or early Monday, most likely between Tuxpan and La Pesca.
Hurricane Hunters confirmed this morning that pressures continue to fall with increasing wind speeds. The storm was very near hurricane force and is forecast to become Hurricane Ingrid today. It should continue as a hurricane through landfall.
Ingrid’s rather small size and movement to the northeast may give the Gulf coast of Mexico a brief respite from the heavy rains today. Then the slow movement through landfall and beyond will lead to very heavy rainfall in northeast Mexico with resulting flash floods and mudslides.
South Texas from Brownville to Corpus Christi will feel some impacts from Ingrid. Heavy surf, elevated tides and rip currents will make beach activities and boating unsafe until early next week. The lower Rio Grande Valley could also receive heavy rainfall.
For the upper Texas coast – we continue to expect only a modest increase in waves and tides running one to two feet above normal into early next week. Our rain chances should increase after Ingrid makes landfall and some of the tropical moisture spreads north.
Meanwhile, Manuel is forecast to move slowly along the west coast of Mexico as a tropical storm. Flash flooding and mudslides are also expected for areas from Acapulco to Puerto Vallarta.