We're approaching the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season and, as expected, tropical activity has been sparse so far. We're getting early indications that may change, however, as some computer forecast models generate a tropical system in the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico as we head into next week.
The area of concern is nothing but a cluster of thunderstorms in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean right now. This area of low pressure is expected to drift westward around the rim of a broad dome of high pressure over the Atlantic Ocean. If it meets favorable environmental conditions for development, the low could strengthen as it moves into the western Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico.
The forecast for this system is very preliminary and our confidence on the outcome is low. As new forecast model data is released, the forecast for this tropical disturbance will become more clear.
Over the next few days, we will be watching the tropics closely and keeping you up-to-date on the forecast developments.